Grand Canyon Valuation

LOPE Stock  USD 169.72  1.78  1.06%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. Grand Canyon Education retains a regular Real Value of $195.22 per share. The prevalent price of the firm is $169.72. Our model calculates the value of Grand Canyon Education from evaluating the firm fundamentals such as return on asset of 0.18, and Return On Equity of 0.28 as well as inspecting its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Grand Canyon's valuation include:
Price Book
6.1524
Enterprise Value
4.5 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
12.8363
Price Sales
4.3254
Forward PE
16.5017
Undervalued
Today
169.72
Please note that Grand Canyon's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Grand Canyon Education is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Grand Canyon's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Grand stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Grand Canyon Education. Since Grand Canyon is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Grand Stock. However, Grand Canyon's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  169.72 Real  195.22 Target  222.67 Hype  170.11 Naive  165.44
The real value of Grand Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Grand Canyon Education Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Grand Canyon's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Grand Canyon's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
152.75
Downside
195.22
Real Value
196.91
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Grand Canyon Education helps investors to forecast how Grand stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Grand Canyon more accurately as focusing exclusively on Grand Canyon's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
2.452.482.52
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
168.42170.11171.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
163.75165.44167.12
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
202.63222.67247.16
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Grand Canyon's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Grand Canyon's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Grand Canyon's closest peers. If more than one evaluation category is relevant for Grand Canyon we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Grand Canyon Cash

391.98 Million

Grand Canyon Total Value Analysis

Grand Canyon Education is now projected to have valuation of 4.5 B with market capitalization of 4.72 B, debt of 108.52 M, and cash on hands of 203.27 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Grand Canyon fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
4.5 B
4.72 B
108.52 M
203.27 M

Grand Canyon Investor Information

About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.1. Grand Canyon Education recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.42. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Based on the analysis of Grand Canyon's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Grand Canyon Education is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in March.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.180.24
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities189.6 M333.5 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income180.8 M316.7 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile

Grand Canyon Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Grand Canyon has an asset utilization ratio of 101.43 percent. This indicates that the Company is making $1.01 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Grand Canyon Education is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Grand Canyon Profitability Analysis

Considering Grand Canyon's profitability and operating efficiency indicators, Grand Canyon Education may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high probability of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess Grand Canyon's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
2006-03-31
Previous Quarter
41.5 M
Current Value
16.3 M
Quarterly Volatility
25.7 M
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
The current year's Gross Profit Margin is expected to grow to 0.61, whereas Gross Profit is forecasted to decline to about 360.8 M.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.610.527
Fairly Up
Pretty Stable
Operating Profit Margin0.180.24
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Pretax Profit Margin0.190.25
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Return On Assets0.120.2
Way Down
Slightly volatile
For Grand Canyon profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Grand Canyon Education to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Grand Canyon utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Grand Canyon's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Grand Canyon over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Grand Canyon Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Grand Canyon is estimated to be 2.483325 with future projections ranging from a low of 2.45 to a high of 2.525. Grand Canyon's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 7.42. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Grand Canyon Education is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Grand Canyon is projected to generate 2.483325 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2026. Grand Canyon earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Grand Canyon EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Grand Canyon's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Grand Canyon, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Grand Canyon Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Grand Canyon's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Grand Canyon is estimated to be 2.483325 with the future projection ranging from a low of 2.45 to a high of 2.525. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Grand Canyon Education is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
2.45
Lowest
Expected EPS
2.483325
2.52
Highest

Grand Canyon Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Grand Canyon's value are higher than the current market price of the Grand Canyon stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Grand Canyon is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Grand Canyon's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of December 2026Current EPS (TTM)
388.8%
0.0
2.483325
7.42

Grand Canyon Ownership Allocation

The majority of Grand Canyon Education outstanding shares are owned by outside corporations. These institutional investors are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to purchase positions in Grand Canyon to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, third-party entities are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Grand Canyon Education. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Grand Canyon Education as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. On October 9, 2018, Representative Lamar Smith of US Congress acquired under $15k worth of Grand Canyon Education's common stock.

Grand Canyon Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.03 B. Net Income was 226.23 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 578.24 M.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Grand Canyon's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Grand Canyon and how it compares across the competition.

About Grand Canyon Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Grand Canyon's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Grand Canyon. We calculate exposure to Grand Canyon's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Grand Canyon's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit626.1 M360.8 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.25  0.19 
Operating Profit Margin 0.24  0.18 
Net Profit Margin 0.20  0.13 
Gross Profit Margin 0.53  0.61 

Grand Canyon Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Grand Canyon does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding29.3 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.592
Forward Price Earnings16.5017

Grand Canyon Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Grand Canyon Education and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Grand we look at many different elements of the entity such as Grand's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Grand Canyon, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Grand Canyon's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Grand Canyon's worth.

Complementary Tools for Grand Stock analysis

When running Grand Canyon's price analysis, check to measure Grand Canyon's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Grand Canyon is operating at the current time. Most of Grand Canyon's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Grand Canyon's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Grand Canyon's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Grand Canyon to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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